While analysts have cast doubt on the likelihood of an XRP spot ETF approval in 2025, the broader crypto community seems to disagree. On Polymarket, a leading prediction market platform, the probability of an XRP ETF approval has soared to 78%, despite analysts suggesting that Litecoin (LTC), Dogecoin (DOGE), and Solana (SOL) have a stronger chance of securing regulatory approval.

XRP’s Growing ETF Potential

With a market capitalization of nearly $150 billion, XRP remains one of the largest cryptocurrencies, trailing only Bitcoin and Ethereum—both of which received SEC approval for spot ETFs in 2024. As a result, speculation is rising that XRP could be next in line. Major asset managers, including Grayscale, 21Shares, Bitwise, Canary Capital, and WisdomTree, have already expressed interest in launching an XRP ETF.

Analysts vs. Market Sentiment

Industry analysts Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart have argued that XRP’s legal and regulatory hurdles could limit its chances of approval, estimating a mere 65% probability—significantly lower than Polymarket’s 78% forecast. They place higher confidence in Litecoin (90%), Dogecoin (75%), and Solana (70%) as potential ETF candidates. Despite this, traders and investors continue to bet on XRP’s inclusion in the ETF landscape, believing its market influence and institutional backing could sway regulators.

What’s Next for XRP?

The disparity between analysts and market sentiment highlights the uncertainty surrounding XRP’s regulatory future. If the SEC shifts its stance or broader institutional adoption continues, XRP’s ETF approval odds could increase further, making it a potential asset to watch.

🚨 Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.